Investing guide

How to analyze a rental property

The core numbers investors use, including net operating income, cap rate, cash flow and cash-on-cash return, with a worked example you can adapt.

Start with realistic income

Base rent on comparable rentals nearby with similar size, condition and amenities. Use typical rent, not the highest listing you can find. Then subtract a vacancy allowance for the weeks between tenants and the occasional unpaid month. What’s left is your effective gross income.

List every operating expense

Operating expenses are the costs of running the property. Common ones:

  • Property taxes, including special taxes such as Mello-Roos
  • Insurance
  • HOA dues
  • Repairs and maintenance
  • Reserves for big-ticket replacements like the roof, HVAC and water heater
  • Property management and leasing fees
  • Owner-paid utilities, landscaping and pest control

Your mortgage payment is not an operating expense. It’s handled separately so you can compare properties regardless of how they’re financed.

Net operating income (NOI)

NOI = effective gross income − operating expenses

NOI is what the property earns in a year before financing and income taxes.

Cap rate

Cap rate = NOI ÷ purchase price

Cap rate lets you compare properties as if each were bought with cash. It’s useful for side-by-side comparisons but leaves out financing, future rent changes, appreciation and the condition of the building. A high cap rate can signal a bargain or a property with higher risk or more deferred maintenance.

Cash flow

Annual cash flow = NOI − annual loan payments

Cash flow is what’s left after the mortgage. When it’s negative, you are paying to own the property every month, which can still fit some long-term plans but should be a deliberate choice.

Cash-on-cash return

Cash-on-cash return = annual pre-tax cash flow ÷ total cash invested

Total cash invested includes your down payment, closing costs and any upfront repairs.

A worked example

Here’s a single-family rental with made-up numbers chosen to show the math. It isn’t a typical or expected result.

Purchase price$500,000
Market rent ($3,000 × 12)$36,000
Vacancy allowance (5%)−$1,800
Effective gross income$34,200
Property taxes (assumed)−$6,000
Insurance (assumed)−$1,800
Maintenance and reserves (assumed)−$3,000
Property management (8% of income)−$2,736
Net operating income$20,664
Cap rate ($20,664 ÷ $500,000)4.13%

Now add financing. Assume 25% down ($125,000), $10,000 in closing costs and a $375,000, 30-year loan at 7.0%:

Monthly principal and interest$2,494.88
Annual loan payments$29,939
Annual cash flow ($20,664 − $29,939)−$9,275
Total cash invested$135,000
Cash-on-cash return−6.87%

In this example the property loses money each year at that price, rent and rate. The rent would need to be about $3,880 a month to break even. That doesn’t automatically make it a bad purchase, but it means you would be relying on rent growth, appreciation and loan paydown instead of cash flow. Running the numbers this way, before you write an offer, is what lets you make that choice on purpose.

Other numbers worth checking

  • Debt service coverage ratio (DSCR): NOI ÷ annual loan payments. In the example it’s 0.69, meaning income covers 69% of the mortgage. Some loan programs use a version of this to qualify the property.
  • Break-even rent: the rent at which cash flow is zero.
  • Gross rent multiplier: price ÷ annual gross rent. A quick screen, but it ignores expenses.

Stress-test your assumptions

Rerun the numbers with a longer vacancy, a major repair in year one, a higher insurance quote and, if you plan to refinance, a higher rate. If the property only works under the best case, it doesn’t really work.

General information only. This guide is educational and isn’t financial, tax or legal advice. Talk with a qualified professional about your situation.

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